Conquer The Crash by Robert R. Prechter Jr.

By Robert R. Prechter Jr.


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A better solution would be to eliminate their special status as DFMUs and regulate them under Title I. Conclusion Governments never learn. Only people learn. —MILTON FRIEDMAN Let us hope the dedicated people in charge of our regulatory system this time will learn not just from the immediate past but from the broader past as well. Let us hope in trying to avoid the most recent financial crisis that we also avoid the kinds of mistakes that can lead to new ones. A few principles that might help us move forward, responsibly: Trust no one, including yourself.

To do so, we need a robust understanding of the behavioral responses to new policies. ” Warsh then focuses on what he calls the new stability agenda of economic policy which has emerged from the financial crisis. He is concerned that this well-intentioned approach to policy will too readily accept “statism” as a means to resist even the more benign turbulence in the economy or in sectors of the economy. Some turbulence, he argues, is not unhealthy for the economy, and indeed it is key to strong, sustainable economic growth and prosperity.

The Fed was forced to reverse course, ratcheting the federal funds rate to near zero and pursuing unprecedented monetary easing (and massive market support) during and after the crisis. Not only did interest rates fall dramatically, the Federal Reserve Board has engaged in a series of positive monetary actions and quantitative easing efforts. 5 Given that tight money policies exacerbated, perhaps even caused, the Great Depression, it was certainly reasonable and appropriate for the Federal Reserve Board to take action to avoid a repeat.

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