Project Economics and Decision Analysis: Volume 1: by M. A. Mian, Mohammad A. Mian

By M. A. Mian, Mohammad A. Mian

This entire two-volume set offers all the required innovations of capital funding evaluate, capital budgeting, and determination research. Mian takes the reader step by step during the determination making method, offering complete assurance of all determination research instruments presently to be had whereas outlining how funding judgements are made less than various levels of probability. additional, he makes a speciality of sensible software, utilizing a straightfoward process with solved 'real-life' examples and options, end-of-chapter difficulties, and illustrations through the booklet. quantity 2: Probabilistic versions: contains unfastened restricted version model of Palisade's selection instruments CD-ROM contains Excel spreadsheets (detailed funds flows and calculations) of all examples within the volumes check the exterior possibility of investigating via easy-to-undrstand statistical research utilize many of the statistical spreedsheet purposes layout and use choice timber to profile and decrease probability be sure threat possibilities by utilizing likelihood distribution tables. Contents: advent records and chance recommendations anticipated worth and determination bushes Incorporating attitudes towards danger Determing enterprise participation Simulation in determination research Appendices Index.

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Additional resources for Project Economics and Decision Analysis: Volume 1: Deterministic Models

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2. Add one to the factor obtained in Step 1. 3. Calculate the present value by multiplying the periodic cash flow by the factor calculated in Step 2. 6806 $39,926 @ 8% Fig. 2–8 Cash-flow diagram for Example 2–12, showing present value of ordinary annuity 49 Project Economics and Decision Analysis Volume I: Deterministic Models Example 2–13 An oil producer acquired production equipment by paying $10,000 as down payment and agreed to pay the balance in four year-end installments of $10,000. Calculate the present value of the annuity due at an interest rate of 8%.

The concept of Gambler’s Ruin is presented in this chapter, and it is used to determine the optimum working interest in a certain investment. In addition, the concepts of risk tolerance and risk aversion are used to arrive at a balanced portfolio of investments while optimizing the working interest carried in each investment of the portfolio. 6. Simulation in Decision Analysis. The concepts related to Monte Carlo simulation are presented in this chapter. Volume 2 also includes Palisade Corporation’s DecisionToolsTM suite on a CD-ROM.

Annuity, will not start until some time in the future, meaning the annuity will be postponed by a number of periods from the present time (time zero). There is no exclusive equation or interest factor for calculating the present value of deferred annuity. The concepts presented in the preceding sections are used in combination to arrive at the present value. Example of a deferred annuity is schematically shown in Figure 2–12. The present value of deferred annuity may be calculated in any one of the following three ways.

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